2020 NHL Awards Ballot
The time has come. Members of the Professional Hockey
Writers Association received their official ballots in the mail this week so
it’s time to debate the NHL’s year-end awards, or at least the ones that matter
the most. I had Michael Clifford on my podcast last week to dive into these so
make sure you check out that conversation.
Before we dive in, I just wanted to highlight that these are
awards voted on by hockey writers so that alone makes the process flawed.
Writers are people, and people are biased. It’s impossible to be completely
objective. Writers also love narratives. LOVE them. It’s what makes these
conversations fun. I rue the day that NHL analysts come up with an
all-encompassing stat that really works like baseball’s Wins Above Replacement
(WAR).
These days, MLB MVP ballots look like a carbon copy of
FanGraphs’ WAR page. It isn’t long into a debate about someone’s MVP candidacy
that their WAR comes up. And at that point, the conversation basically ends.
The godfather of analytics Bill James puts it quite
succinctly:
My central objection to WAR is not really that there is anything at all wrong with WAR. It is that math should never be used as a substitute for thought. Many, many people use WAR to call an end to what would otherwise be interesting discussions. It's annoying.— Bill James Online (@billjamesonline) May 14, 2020
So here I am to say that I am thankful for our flawed
process! I am not a member of the PHWA and do not have a vote, but I’d like to
participate in the conversation all the same. I love that I can continuously
reference Drew Doughty’s Norris trophy as the rare case of a man in his 20’s
receiving a career achievement award. It does bother me when “mistakes” happen
because these awards do impact players’ legacies. They impact their salaries,
sometimes directly because of bonuses that are linked to awards voting.
I suspect that’s the hardest part for some writers. No one
wants to directly impact someone’s wallet. Maybe that’s a minor subject for the
next CBA. But even if you removed those direct bonuses there’s no denying the
impact that this voting has on legacy. Hell, even the day-to-day coverage of
players has a major impact on perception. Who and how writers choose to write
about influences conversation. The hope is that those tasked with doing so have
the correct guiding morals and ethics to do so.
Awards voting IS important, but it also must be flawed, and
fun to be the most entertaining and engaging, which is ultimately the core
business of the NHL. What a tap dance that is. The result is that every voter
or critic should have some guiding principles to direct their votes. I’ll
outline mine as we go!
Hart Trophy
Here’s my gripe with the Hart. If we go by the direct
definition of the Hart then we should go with the player deemed to be the “most
valuable” to his team, which leads us directly down the path of WAR or Goals
Above Replacement (GAR) or Game
Score Value Added (GSVA).
We aren’t looking for any showstoppers just yet!
I also feel like the value narrative also leads you directly
to the goalie who most out-performs their circumstances dragging a bad team to
the playoffs or a mediocre team to genuine contention.
Maybe that should be how we vote on this award. Goal
prevention is literally half of the game, and no player can impact that half
more than the goaltender. Like the old saying goes, “goaltending is 50% of the
game until you don’t have it, then it’s 100%.”
But just handing it to the best goalie, or rather the
goaltender who most outperforms his circumstances, just doesn’t have the nuance
I crave in this conversation.
This season’s example, Connor Hellebuyck, is a fine option.
He absolutely carried a Jets’ team that lost two-thirds of their defense from
the previous season (and showed it). He has a real narrative claim to the
award. I swore off Hellebuyck in fantasy this season because of how devastated
that blue line was. The Jets played exactly as poor defensively as you’d
expect, but because of Hellebuyck they were looking like a playoff team and may
well get there if they can win their play-in matchup against the Flames.
I just don’t think we
should be handing it to Hellebuyck automatically and talking about the strict
definition of value leads you to the goaltender nine times out of 10. I prefer the
notion of “most outstanding”. There is an award for that, the Ted Lindsay
award, but that’s one voted on by the players and doesn’t come with the same
cache as the Hart Trophy. The reason the Lindsay is important is to highlight
the times when Hart voting goes awry, like Corey Perry’s Hart win in 2011
(Daniel Sedin won the Lindsay), but it also acts as a great confirmation for
when voting goes right like Connor McDavid’s 2017 Hart/Lindsay sweep.
I should note that the notion of “most outstanding” opens
the door for non-serious contenders. Players who have ridiculous performances
on bad teams, like Connor McDavid in 2018. He was the NHL’s best player, but
not the MVP so we do have to leave some semblance of value and team performance
included. Like I said, this is a delicate dance.
At this point, I feel like the best way to explain my
methodology further is to unveil my ballot, so here we go!
#1 – Nathan MacKinnon – C – Colorado Avalanche
MacKinnon has an excellent resume. He finished 5th
in scoring (93 points), 4th in primary points (72), 8th
in 5-on-5 P/60 (2.90) and tied for 2nd in GSVA with Panarin. He was
also hands-down the best player on the league’s third best team by
points-percentage, and it was a team ravaged by injuries having lost the fifth
most Cap Hit of Injured Players in the league.
In 2018-19, MacKinnon skated over 58% of his shifts flanked
by the outstanding Mikko Rantanen and Gabriel Landeskog. This season, he was
with that combo for just 32% of
his shifts and yet was having the best season of his career, on pace for
111 points.
MacKinnon helped to carry the Avalanche to legitimate
contender status, ranking as one of this year’s eight teams with the scoring
profile of a Stanley Cup contender:
In the cap era, the only team to win the Cup with a GF% below 52.5% was the 2018 Capitals. With the NHL officially going into the playoffs, here are the teams meeting that threshold. pic.twitter.com/pwpHSerw8I
— Steve Laidlaw (@SteveLaidlaw) May 28, 2020
MacKinnon checks all the boxes for me. He carried a
significant load for not just a playoff team, but a contender, was the best
player on his team, is in the “most outstanding” conversation and is one of the
league’s best players at the peak of his powers.
#2 – Connor Hellebuyck – G – Winnipeg Jets
On the pod with Cliffy I got talked into moving Hellebuyck
up to third and in going through this process I’ve eventually moved Hellebuyck
up to second. And perhaps that says more about my reticence to have #4 and #5
on my list any higher, but Hellebuyck is a deserving candidate though in my
mind not “outstanding” enough to win it all.
Hellebuyck finished narrowly behind Tuukka Rask in both HockeyReference’s
and NaturalStatTrick’s
Goals Saved Above Average, finished second in Wins (31) and first in shutouts
(6). Normally, I wouldn’t reference shutouts, because it’s more of a team stat,
but to shut anyone out with this
defense is bloody miracle:
Connor Hellebuyck pitched 6 shutouts behind THIS defense corps, what a bloody miracle.— Steve Laidlaw (@SteveLaidlaw) June 8, 2020
Stick tap to @DailyFaceoff for the pairings art! pic.twitter.com/9M5klCe9QY
Hellebuyck is far and away my Vezina winner (I’ll get to my
issues with that trophy later) and as we discussed above, he dragged a Jets
team that lost a ton of talent and was primed for a step backwards to remain
relevant.
#3 Artemi Panarin – W – New York Rangers
If Hellebuyck carries the “most valuable” narrative the
best, Panarin does it the best as a skater. What he did with the Rangers this
season was insane. “Dragged Dogshit Team to Relevance” would be the most apt
headline. But of course, said dogshit team may actually only be relevant
because of the pandemic induced 24-Team Play-in format that the NHL is running
with.
Counterpoint, once the Rangers got Mika Zibanejad back, they
took off, grading out as a top-10 team in the second half. A team that no one, most
notably the Carolina Hurricanes, do not want to face in a playoff series.
Panarin also fits the “most outstanding” narrative finishing
tied for third in points (95), tied for fifth in primary points (67), second in
5-on-5 P/60 (3.28), and tied for second in GSVA.
I’ve been struggling with the reality that in a normal year
the Rangers aren’t a playoff team. But then again, maybe in a normal year they
continue to ride that second-half play into a playoff berth. They were only two
points back of Carolina/Toronto/Columbus (in a three-way tie for the two
wildcard slots with 81 points) and had 12 games left to play. They had a number
of teams to jump and ultimately low odds to get there, but they also had a
better goal differential than anyone in the Conference below Carolina in the
standings at plus-12.
The Avalanche, Jets and Rangers are all deep lottery teams
without their MVP candidates but only one of them has the look of a legitimate
contender. That’s ultimately why I lean MacKinnon over the other two.
#4 – David Pastrnak – W – Boston Bruins
One of the safest places to start the Hart trophy
conversation is with the best player off the best team. This year that’s
Pastrnak. He finished the season splitting the Rocket Richard trophy with Alex
Ovechkin (aka the greatest goal scorer of all-time), tied for third in points
with Artemi Panarin (95), second in primary points (79), seventh in 5-on-5 P/60
(2.92) and fourth in GSVA.
Pastrnak checks all the boxes you’d like in terms of the
“most outstanding” conversation. The issue with him comes from trying to unknot
his individual value from that of his similarly outstanding linemates; Brad
Marchand and Patrice Bergeron. It’s near impossible to win out in the “most
valuable” conversation when you play with other awesome players in terms of
strict definition, so I try not to hold elite linemates against a guy. If the
three best players in the league all played on one line, I’d try to not have
them “split the vote”.
But ultimately, Pastrnak does lose out. His season was as
outstanding as MacKinnon’s and Panarin’s but he did so as one great piece on a
team loaded with them, and he didn’t so separate himself from his teammates or
his peers to overcome those circumstances. His season was not a 2019 Nikita
Kucherov performance where the force multiplier of playing on the league’s best
team with elite linemates led to the hands-down the single-most impressive
performance of the season.
MacKinnon simply had to do more with less than Pastrnak.
Also, the Bruins would still have been a great team without Pastrnak, perhaps
not the President’s trophy winners, but they’d have remained in the mix.
#5 – Leon Draisaitl – C/W – Edmonton Oilers
Most outstanding player, sure. Draisaitl led the NHL with
110 points (13 clear of second place teammate Connor McDavid), was tops in
primary points (82), ninth in 5-on-5 P/60 (2.89), and eighth in GSVA.
Draisaitl also has a decent MVP narrative, carrying the
Oilers while Connor McDavid missed seven games and leading the league in ice
time among forwards skating an obscene 22:37 per game. I don’t think I have
enough appendages to count the number of times Draisaitl skated over 25 minutes
in a game, frequently playing four out of the five overtime minutes, tirelessly
dragging the Oilers to an extra point or two that they desperately needed.
I keep running into two issues with Draisaitl:
1. He’s not even the best player on his own team. As
outstanding as Draisaitl is, I have a tough time shaking the sense that he is
Scottie to McDavid’s Michael. Evgeni Malkin eventually broke loose of that
similar narrative in Pittsburgh, but it took Sidney Crosby losing his prime
years to injury. let’s hope that if Draisaitl is to do the same, we don’t have
to see McDavid shelved. Keep in mind, it
almost happened.
2. Draisaitl’s Houdini act in December (11 of his 14 points
came on the PP and he was a ghastly minus-24 in 14 games) that had the Oilers
spiralling and left you with the sense that this would be yet another
#HereComeTheOilers season. Draisaitl didn’t escape his funk until Kailer
Yamamoto’s arrival from the AHL, forming one of the league’s most dominant
trios along with Ryan Nugent-Hopkins.
Maybe it’s a sign of Draisaitl’s greatness that we can decry
a month where he scored a point-per-game! And maybe we shouldn’t hold it
against him that the Oilers couldn’t find the right options to fit around him.
After all, it took the Penguins years to figure out that Crosby works best with
the scrappy Chris Kunitz types.
Still, I can’t help but feel like Draisaitl is less of a
force multiplier than the other forwards above. He will probably win this
trophy. He belongs in the conversation. I just prefer a few other options.
V ezina Trophy
We touched on it above, so we may as well dive into the
Vezina Trophy next. It’s a unique award in this discussion because it is NOT
voted on by the PHWA but instead it is voted on by the NHL GM’s. Seeing how
these GM’s manage their own goaltending situations, I’m not sure they deserve
the privilege, but I digress!
My bigger issue with the Vezina is that it so rarely is
captured by the league’s best goaltender. Roberto Luongo never won the Vezina.
Henrik Lundqvist only won it one time. These awards are a big deal for a player’s
legacy, especially seeing as neither Luongo nor Lundqvist were able to cap
their careers with a Cup (though maybe Lundqvist can get there), coming oh so
close one time each. They are sure fire Hall-of-Famers so maybe they don’t the
hardware on their resumes, but it sure would help!
I just find goaltending is so volatile that in any given
year you’ll have that one outstanding performance that jumps out above the fray
but doesn’t really capture who we all believe to be the best at the position.
It’s why I proposed to Cliffy on the pod that we create a Goaltender
Championship Belt that the best goalie on earth carries around wherever they go
until they officially lose the title. It could help us a lot. We could still
celebrate the Vezina for best goalie performance of a single season, while
still knowing who the true king is. It would act similarly to the Ted Lindsay,
with the caveat that we absolutely cannot allow the players to vote
for it.
The Goalie Championship Belt is another story for another
day. Here’s my Vezina ballot:
#1 Connor Hellebuyck – Winnipeg Jets
If you’re good enough to break into the Hart discussion, you
are certainly good enough for the Vezina.
#2 Tuukka Rask – Boston Bruins
Number-one goalie on the best team, like Pastrnak for the
Hart, this is a good place to start. That Rask is actually slightly ahead of
Hellebuyck in GSAA despite playing in such a well-insulated environment speaks
volumes to his play.
Rask only played in 41 of a possible 70 games, which is way
too near to 50% for my liking. There’s probably going to become a time when
EVERY goalie is starting in this range (which will likely kill the goalies for
Hart thing, BTW) but until that time games played still matters. Is he as
efficient starting 75% of the time?
#3 Ben Bishop – Dallas Stars
Finding goalies who both played a significant number of
their team’s games and remained efficient doing so was a struggle. Seriously,
the demands of this position are so high. Goalies get better every year, but
they’ve been losing the battle against skaters for the past few. One of the few
to excel during these times: Bishop.
I feel bad that he’s been a bridesmaid for this one so
often, but I also don’t feel like he has ever held the Goalie Championship
Belt, so I don’t feel too bad.
#4 Andrei Vasilevskiy – Tampa Bay Lightning
Not nearly as strong a season from the incumbent this go
around. If it weren’t for his volume of games played, he may not have even
cracked my ballot. But he played enough to get there despite inconsistency and
signs of wear.
I’d be concerned as a fantasy owner, as Vasilevskiy is
coming off the best three-year run of any goalie in the league and goalies
simply do not sustain that type of play beyond those 2-3 -year runs. He’s only
25 but has put on a ton of miles these past few seasons and has already
complained of fatigue at times in his career. He is also about to start a new
mega contract making him the third highest paid goalie in the league. And that
contract, combined with a flat or declining cap is going to force the Lightning
to shed talent so the environment around him could become more demanding, but I
digress.
#5 Jacob Markstrom – Vancouver Canucks
Honestly, Markstrom is probably a better MVP candidate than
he is a Vezina candidate, but he was a good goalie, making a positive influence
for an imperfect Canucks team right on the cusp of the playoffs. He finished 11th
in NaturalStatTrick’s GSAA, right behind Vasilevskiy and a bunch of backups,
but played just enough to snag consideration for me here.
Markstrom played only 43 games because he missed time due to
injury, which is where we get into his MVP candidacy. The Canucks STRUGGLED when
Markstrom went down, falling slightly out of the playoff picture heading into
the lockdown. With a healthy Markstrom, they probably breeze into the playoffs.
That’s probably more of an indictment of Thatcher Demko than it is a
celebration of Markstrom. Markstrom was good and that’s all this Canucks team
needed to be playoff worthy. Other guys here were great so Markstrom is a
distant fifth.
Norris Trophy
For this one, I’m giving my ballot in reverse order because
I feel like the conversation has to start with…
#5 John Carlson – Washington Capitals
Carlson’s Norris Trophy win feels as inevitable as gravity,
but I am doing my best to resist the pull. It irks me to no end that Carlson is
going to win this thing for becoming the sort of one-way rover/defensive
liability that guys like Mike Green and Erik Karlsson were forever bashed for
being but that Karlsson never actually even was.
And look, Carlson IS deserving as a candidate. He leads all
defensemen in scoring by a full 10 points, sitting well above a point-per-game.
It’s just that points are a horrible measure of what a defenseman is doing, is
especially in the context of the Norris, which is supposed to reward the
defenseman who demonstrates the best “all-around” ability. Going all-in on
offense to the detriment of defense is not being the best all-around. Carlson
going all-in on offense remains a positive force, and it may even be the best
way of maximizing Carlson’s talents, it just doesn’t make him the best overall
force, because there are others who can do it nearly as well as Carlson
offensively, while giving way less back the other way.
What’s telling for me is that Carlson can be 10 points clear
of the next defenseman and still be well below guys like Roman Josi, Victor
Hedman, and Alex Pietrangelo in GSVA. He sits 10th in that metric
but he’s a full 50% behind those guys in actual output in that stat, putting
him closer to middle-of-the-road than elite.
I’ve made this point on a few pods, but probably most
explicitly on the 2008
NHL Re-Draft with Elan Dubrofsky: how many points would Carlson’s
contemporaries score if in a similarly peachy situation? And perhaps more importantly,
how much better would the Capitals be defensively were that the case?
#4 Dougie Hamilton – Carolina Hurricanes
Hamilton was running away with this thing at mid-season but
then an injury cut his season short. Good news for him, in a pandemic-shortened
season 47 games is closer to 70% of the schedule than the 55% it would normally
amount to. Is that enough to have him win? No. But it is enough to get him on
my ballot.
#3 Victor Hedman – Tampa Bay Lightning
You barely hear Hedman’s name mentioned in the Norris
discussion despite the fact that if there was a defenseman championship belt,
Hedman undoubtedly snatched that thing away from Erik Karlsson after Karlsson’s
Herculian feat of dragging the 2017 Senators to within a goal of the Cup final
while on one leg left him permanently hobbled.
Hedman won the Norris in 2018 so our propensity to champion
the shiny new thing likely has him on the backburner, but he remains one of the
league’s premiere defensemen in the prime of his career. This wasn’t his best season,
and he wasn’t the best this season, but it was still elite.
#2 Alex Pietrangelo – St Louis Blues
No Cup hangover for the Blues, which is a testament to the
tour-de-force that was Pietrangelo’s play this season, dominating in all phases
and keeping the Blues atop the standings despite losing elite goal-scorer
Vladimir Tarasenko.
Pietrangelo’s been in the mix for this thing a bunch of
times. He’s kind of the other guy from that vaunted ’08 draft class so loaded
with defenders like Doughty, Karlsson and Carlson (and also Roman Josi!) so I
wouldn’t be shocked to see Pietrangelo gain a ton of traction not only for his
performance but also as the next guy “due” for his win. I can’t push him that
far because I don’t believe in that sort of thing but also because there is
another guy who is also due and had such a significantly better season.
#1 Roman Josi – Nashville Predators
The Predators lost PK Subban to trade, Ryan Ellis to injury
and their head coach to poor play, and their identity to god knows what, and
through it all was Josi dragging them to relevance.
I mentioned it with Carlson, defenseman scoring is generally
a poor measure of overall play, but Josi finishing second in defenseman scoring
(65 points in 68 games) just 10 behind Carlson, while leading his team in
scoring (Filip Forsberg was second with 48 points in 63 games) by a whopping 17
points should tell you something.
Once you factor in team quality, Josi accounted for the same
percentage of team offense as Carlson and did it without giving as much back
defensively. Plus/Minus is flawed but Josi being a Plus-22 on a team with a
negative goal-differential stands out.
Where would the Caps be without Carlson? Probably still darn
good. The Preds would be deep in the lottery without Josi driving the bus. Maybe
that’s more a case for him being a strong MVP candidate, but guess what? He’s
also one of those! Josi finished top-10 in GSVA, the only defenseman with that
distinction in the past three seasons.
I feel so strongly that Josi was the best defenseman that if
I had an actual ballot I’d consider filling out the rest of my ballot with fake
candidates so as to not prop anyone else up that could steer things away from
Josi. He was so far and away the best defenseman that it pains me he won’t win.
Calder Trophy
This thing matters only because of player bonuses and
leverage in future negotiations. Otherwise, it’s a meaningless trophy. The
Calder race is a snapshot in time and just happens to be a time when players
are arguably the worst they will ever be in their NHL careers. It doesn’t
matter that Connor McDavid lost the Calder to Artemi Panarin. No one cares that
Zdeno Chara was a hunk of playdough for the first few years of his career. Barret
Jackman once one the Calder over Henrik Zetterberg.
It can be fun to debate but the more I think about it the
less I care. Doing all the re-draft pods that I’ve done, and considering how
little emphasis I put on the Calder for defining a player, I just can’t work up
the gumption to argue. Also, the top two for this year are so damned close that
arguing just doesn’t seem worth it.
Quinn Hughes or Cale Makar? Cale Makar or Quinn Hughes? Rig
the vote so they split it. The conversation doesn’t really begin until…
#3 Adam Fox – New York Rangers
Fox benefits from having done three seasons of college
before making the leap at 21, but that only matters in how you project him
going forward vs. Makar and Hughes. For his Calder candidacy, Fox stands out in
a season loaded with exceptional rookie defensemen to the point that Ethan Bear
and John Marino won’t even make my ballot.
Fox has all the makings of a #1 defenseman, which, remember when
the Flames traded Dougie Hamilton AND Adam Fox (not to mention Micheal Ferland)
to the Hurricanes in the same deal? That’s insane, and it hasn’t even worked
out that horribly for Calgary, but also, man could they use Hamilton and Fox!
Carolina, only got a 2nd and a conditional 3rd
for shuffling Fox along to his preferred destination (PLAYER EMPOWERMENT) so
the ultimate winner here is the Rangers, who appear setup for contention very
soon with cornerstones at forward (Panarin), goalie (Igor Shesterkin) and
defense (Fox), not to mention a loaded pipeline. They committed to the rebuild two
years ago and almost immediately turned it around, and I don’t think we’d be
nearly as optimistic without Fox helping to drive play from the back end.
#4 Dominik Kubalik – F – Chicago Blackhawks
The 2013 7th round selection of the LA Kings,
Kubalik similarly wielded his player power last summer getting the Kings to
trade his rights to Chicago for a 5th round pick. I think the league’s
second lowest scoring team would rather have kept the 30-goal man!
#5 Elvis Merzlikins – G – Columbus Blue Jackets
The league’s most impressive rookie is in hot pursuit of
Andrei Vasilevskiy for the title of league’s most entertaining goalie. He is
also exceptional at stopping pucks, which helps! You could argue that MacKenzie
Blackwood (somehow still Calder eligible) had a more important impact helping
to buoy a moribund Devils team, but Merzlikins showed out as eighth in NaturalStatTrick’s
GSAA and might have cracked the Vezina ballot with more games and a better
start to his NHL career.
Selke Trophy
Here’s the thing about the Selke, it is such a narrative and
reputation award that I almost don’t even want to think about it. The trophy is
literally supposed to go to the “best defensive forward” but you somehow don’t
qualify for the conversation unless you are pretty good offensively. And
because it is so narrative and reputation driven it seems like we are always
2-3 years behind on this thing. With that in mind, here’s my ballot:
#1 Sean Couturier – Philadelphia Flyers
If we’re always 2-3 years behind, let’s give it to the guy
who should’ve won it 2-3 years ago even though this wasn’t close to his best
season.
#2 Anthony Cirelli – Tampa Bay Lightning
Here’s the guy who probably should win it. He has had a
tremendous defensive impact while flashing enough offense to clear the
imaginary threshold, but I suspect he won’t win for a couple more years.
#3 Phillip Danault – Montreal Canadiens
Danault doesn’t have the offense to be a #1 centerman but in
Montreal he makes do pairing with Tomas Tatar and Brendan Gallagher to form one
of the league’s premiere shot-volume lines. Seriously, these guys tilt the ice like
no other, ranking 1-2-3
in Corsi-For Percentage all at above 59%.
#4 Mark Stone – Vegas Golden Knights
Again, we’re probably a couple of years behind on peak Stone
here. On the other hand, a line with Chandler Stephenson on it was one
of the best lines of the analytics era. Take a guess who the driver of that
line is.
#5 Ryan O’Reilly – St Louis Blues
The incumbent gets some love once again.
Jack Adams
This one is interesting because there are only 31 coaches in
the league, which is miniscule relative to each player position group so you
aren’t working with a large population to pluck exceptional performances out
of, especially when most every coach in the league is somewhere on the “good
curve”. It’s easy to see that Nathan MacKinnon or Artemi Panarin are better
than most players. Is it easy to tell coaching talent apart when most of what
they do happens behind closed doors?
The easiest way to figure things out is to whittle things
down.
First, the lottery-bound coaches are out. Sorry, but if you
can’t make a 24-team playoff you weren’t coach of the year.
I’m not really impressed if you snuck into the 24-team
playoff either so Montreal, Chicago and Arizona’s coaches are out.
All the mid-season coaching changes are out too. Did any one
new coaching hire jump out to you as a significant improvement?
Florida spent $10M on a goalie and remain a defensive tire
fire, sorry, but Coach Q is out.
The Islanders got worse this season, so our incumbent, Barry
Trotz, is out.
If your MVP is your goalie, you’re out, sorry to Travis
Green and Paul Maurice.
I’m not impressed by Todd Reirden leading the league’s least
injured team to a narrow division title, so he’s out.
I’ve got roughly 10 names left to try and pick out the best
narrative, which is hugely important for this award. Usually the narrative of
choice is the big turnaround. This season I think it comes down to overcoming
staggering odds and on that front no one did it better than…
#1 John Tortorella – Columbus Blue Jackets
The Blue Jackets lost their best forward to a division
rival, their franchise goalie and their hired-gun #1 centerman in free agency,
nearly $30M in AAV and barely missed a beat. But that barely scratches the
surface of the job Tortorella did. Not only did they lose all that talent, but
they also suffered injuries, significant injuries. By Cap
Hit of Injured Players only Pittsburgh dealt with more substantial
injuries.
Seth Jones, Cam Atkinson, Josh Anderson, Markus Nutivaara,
Oliver Bjorkstrand, Alexandre Texier, Ryan Murray, Joonas Korpisalo and
Alexander Wennberg all missed double-digit games and yet the Blue Jackets held
it together not only as a Wild Card contender but as one of the stingiest
outfits in the NHL. Getting so many fill-in players to understand and execute a
system that successfully is a testament to his coaching talents.
#2 Mike Sullivan – Pittsburgh Penguins
Here’s the list of players to play 60+ games for the
Penguins: Teddy Blueger, Marcus Pettersson, Brandon Tanev, Jack Johnson, Jared
McCann, Dominik Simon and miraculously Kris Letang. Not only did they lead the
league in CHIP but managed to integrate multiple rookies as well as a
never-ending stream of players you’d swear were the made up names you start
coming across in Year 3 or 4 of NHL Be a GM mode - I’m looking at you, Anthony
Angello!
Also, their incumbent #1 goalie took an absolute dump and
yet here they are sniffing around as a Cup contender. If not for Tortorella
this would be the most impressive coaching job in the league.
#3 Jared Bednar – Colorado Avalanche
Bednar didn’t suffer quite the same litany of injuries as
the above two but dealt with enough significant injuries that he warrants a
shoutout. Having the MVP on his team doesn’t help his cause.
#4 Dave Tippett – Edmonton Oilers
Now we’re into the weeds. I like the turnaround from the
Oilers here, integrating multiple rookies into their lineup, becoming stout
defensively (particularly on the penalty kill where they went from rags
to riches)
and helping to prop up a paper tiger of a goalie tandem.
It doesn’t take a genius to figure out that playing the crap
out of McDavid and Draisaitl would help matters, but Tippett figured out how to
stretch that strategy to its maximum and has a playoff team on his hands as a
result. Considering how many coaches have failed with these same toys, Tippett
gets a ton of credit.
#5 Bruce Cassidy – Boston Bruins
Again, starting with the league’s best team is always a good
place. To go from heartbreak in the Cup final to suffer no hang over and come
out as far and away the President’s Trophy winners is quite the feat.
You could sell me on a half-dozen other coaches here, but these
are the narratives I’ve settled on.
*
That, if you stuck with me, is my awards ballot for 2020!
Tune in next time for my 2020 year-end All-Star teams.
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